January 18, 2007

Data Points Aggregate Into Trends Facing Media Old and New

2007

Posted by Ben Compaine
Data points, data points, data points. After awhile they aggregate enough to become trends. Here are several recently observed data points:
• Time Warner’s Time Inc unit announced that it was cutting 150 positions, half from editorial at Time, People, Fortune, etc. This on the heals of a reduction of 600, mostly business side, last year.
• The digital version of Sports Illustrated accounted for 13 percent of profits in 2006 and is projected to rise to 18 percent this year.
• The number of people reading Internet blogs on the top 10 U.S. newspaper sites more than tripled in December 2006 from the previous December—from 1.2 million viewers to 3.8 million. 
• On the other hand, viewership of the ABC, CBS and NBC evening newscasts was down by 1.1 million in November from 2005.
• Based on the first six months of 2006, Internet advertising revenue should total about $16 billion for the year, or about 30% greater than 2005. This is roughly 10 times the rate of growth of advertising overall and would make Internet advertising greater than magazine advertising (although some of the Internet expenditures go to the Web sites of magazines).
• A private equity group has agreed to buy the Minneapolis Star & Tribune from McClatchy for less than half of what it paid for the newspaper nine years ago. And presumably McClatchy was happy to be walking away with what it got.
These data points confirm what we intuitively know is happening. But the data adds an undeniable veritas to the generalizations. Time Inc is not waiting until its profit disappears and its publications are in trouble before it takes action. Meanwhile, the editors on the digital side can gather greater respect within their organizations and among their peers—and more importantly, greater clout—as they can show that they have an audience and growing revenue and even profit.

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